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| SFReader Forums > The Real World > World Events > Victory in Iraq | Forum Quick Jump
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|  Jeff Stehman Sage
        Date Joined Mar 2005 Total Posts : 1224 | Posted 10/7/2006 5:07 PM (GMT -5) |   | nathan said... Also I'm mean less "you" you and more along the lines of the stated reasons Islamic Radicals say they want American's dead Stated by whom? Everything I've read leads me to believe "they hate us" is linked to the real or perceived effects of our foreign policy and has nothing to do with our own freedoms.
nathan said... It seems self-evident that changes in posture, defense theories, charters in intelligence and military action resulted in these intercepts. Granted, I don't read as much news as I used to, but my understanding is that the arrests in the UK stemmed directly from information acquired by the Pakistani government following some arrests they made. Certainly awareness has changed following 9/11, but that doesn't require a slacking of constitutional rights.
nathan said... Better to live, intact, regret and make amends than to fail. Better to choose more effective methods that don't leave us with regrets. The internment camps distanced us from a significant resource we could have used to fight the war more effectively. Likewise, following 9/11, instead of embracing immigrant communities that could have provided us with the knowledge, personal contacts, and language skills we desperately needed, we went back on our word, used bait & switch tactics on them, and adopted a general attitude that made them less likely to trust us. Not only do such approaches hurt our ability to move against our enemies, but they are also a strike against us on the heart-and-minds front.
For the record, I have no more faith in the DNC to safeguard the Constitution than I do the GOP (not that that probably surprises you). --Jeff Stehman | | Back to Top | | |
  |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/7/2006 5:47 PM (GMT -5) |   | You, thank God you wrote back I'm fixing my garbage disposal and this gives me an excuse to take a break, lol.
Stated by whom? Everything I've read leads me to believe "they hate us" is linked to the real or perceived effects of our foreign policy and has nothing to do with our own freedoms
The basic disconnect we might have in this is that I would go so far as to yes foriegn policy could cause them to hate us- -- I just don't think we should change things because people hate us or that because there is a cause-and-effect that we are in fact to blame. Let me be as precise as I understand it. We value free market capaitalism, for example. We make deals to do business, some people don't like that. So they want to fight. Then fight them. Don't change our core values because others hate that about our society. (as a minor, easy example)
UBL -- he hates that the House of Saud isn't fundamentalist enough. He's really pushed over the edge when during Saddam's invasaion of Kuwait the Saudi's have "infidels" (i.e. US) in the land of mecca. He sees these Arab leaders as sell-outs and corrupts then morphs with the creation of Al Queada to wanting The West and its influence (anything that is not Sharia: womens rights, religious freedom, gay rights and every cause that is LIBERAL in nature, ect) out of the land of Islam. -- Cause and effect. We we're there he hated it so he turned terrorist. So what? Why in the hell should we go? He wasn't going to usher Arabia into a new time of peace and freedom -- he was going to turn it into Taliban-esque.
Iraq is now a proxy war with Iran. Iran says quite clearly they want to melt the Jews and make a fundamentalist state from India to Spain. Our foriegn policy doesn't jib with this so they push. So what -- their foriegn policy shouldn't jib with us. We should be fighting them.
Granted, I don't read as much news as I used to, but my understanding is that the arrests in the UK stemmed directly from information acquired by the Pakistani government following some arrests they made. Certainly awareness has changed following 9/11, but that doesn't require a slacking of constitutional rights.
My understanding of the story is simple. Telephone intercepts between US & EU to Pakis lead to arrests. The Pakis did the interrogation. To say the Pakis use 'coerced' interrogation is a not a methaphor: its a synanym (please excuse my spelling I'm typing one handed with a sandwich). They bleed that info out of them.
What Constitutional Rights 'slacking' are you talking about? The Patriot Act was passed into law. The scope of those acts is so huge you have to be specific. For example: I never thought FBI agents writing their own warrents instead of going to a judge was okay -- that freaked me out. However the idea of NSA phishing never caused me to lift an eyebrow. One was struck down, the other upheld -- but if your view of exactly what a particular amendment reads differs from a judge or appeals court then we're left at an impass as it then means you think the federal judge was 'wrong' in their understanding of the constitution. I don't know know how to argue that.
Better to choose more effective methods that don't leave us with regrets. The internment camps distanced us from a significant resource we could have used to fight the war more effectively.
Still monday morning quarterbacking here. The mindset that led us to Manzinea was specific to the fear of that time. That mindset instigated an often brutal war-fighting policy. All we know for sure is: We Did Alot of Mean Things and Germany & Japan surrendered. To pick and choose the palatable things is a luxury of historians after the fact.
My main point is this -- we survived in tact as a nation after that, and went on to grow even more progressive. I'm not saying internment is okay. I'm saying the "sky is falling and this is the end of America if we compromise or favor security over unfettered freedom" school of thought isn't born out by history.
Likewise, following 9/11, instead of embracing immigrant communities that could have provided us with the knowledge, personal contacts, and language skills we desperately needed, we went back on our word, used bait & switch tactics on them, and adopted a general attitude that made them less likely to trust us. Not only do such approaches hurt our ability to move against our enemies, but they are also a strike against us on the heart-and-minds front.
You're more up on this than I am? We instigated a policy that resulted in foiled terror attacks. Most Iraqi's were dancing in the street when Saddam fell (obviously they were here instead of there for a reason). Our freedom of religion allows Whabbists schools to operate even though they preach inntolerance. We knew there were sleeper agents here in America, look at the California and Oregon arrests. We seem to be doing much better on this front than in Iraq.
For the record, I have no more faith in the DNC to safeguard the Constitution than I do the GOP (not that that probably surprises you).
I'll vote DNC when the time comes (unless maybe Condaleeza Rice runs) but I won't be happy. My favorite guy was Lieberman and he wasn't radical enough to get to stay in the party. Guliana (sp) is moderate enough GOPer (practically a liberal on social issues)that I could stand to vote for him--but I doubt he'll win the primary. VIEW IMAGE "Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/7/2006 5:53 PM (GMT -5) |   |
Jeff Stehman said...
nathan said... Which can sometimes leave arguments reduced to: Is So & Is Not, lol One other thing I'd like to add, although not directly relating to this quote. I believe the purpose of this kind of debate is not to bring about agreement, but to understand our own arguments and the challenges to them better.
On a practical level I agree. In a more emotional/ideological level I despair at this attitude (though I'm just as guilty).
My reason is this -- polarization is bad for America. Every punch we take at each other is a punch not taken at the enemy. I pray for a growth of the moderate middle.
If we only argue to become better arguers then no one changes their mind and the divide solidifies--there is never an end to the fighting. That is bad and only compromise is the answer to a healthy country.
It is a dsyfunctional attitude: but I think you're basically right. VIEW IMAGE"Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/7/2006 6:27 PM (GMT -5) |   |
Jeff Stehman said...
nathan said... Which can sometimes leave arguments reduced to: Is So & Is Not, lol One other thing I'd like to add, although not directly relating to this quote. I believe the purpose of this kind of debate is not to bring about agreement, but to understand our own arguments and the challenges to them better.
Wait. Something just occured to me about the implication of saying this, something I can't agree with.
Jeff are you saying that once your form an opinion, gain a viewpoint or comprehend a fact you are never wrong and no manner of proof (if it is an Objective Argument) or applied reason (if it is a Subjective Argument) can change your mind.
If so I have to admit I don't want to play. Makes feel like Christopher Columbus talking to the King of Spain. VIEW IMAGE"Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
   |  Jeff Stehman Sage
        Date Joined Mar 2005 Total Posts : 1224 | Posted 10/8/2006 2:05 PM (GMT -5) |   | nathan said... Good luck with that. Remember -- Kalid Sheik Mohammad last for 2 minutes and 40 seconds. I suspect I undergo a slightly different procedure (he says sarcastically), but that's about how long I hold it. Eventually the warming on the back of my eyeballs is what gets to me.
A curious aside, it was a thought I had during the media storm following KSM's arrest that led me to write my NaNoWriMo novel, Making War, last year. In it our hero uses deeply planted disinformation to create a war between two nations, thus safeguarding his own nation but becoming a shell of a man in the process. (That ought'a have 'em rollin the in the aisles.)
nathan said... We instigated a policy that resulted in foiled terror attacks... We knew there were sleeper agents here in America, look at the California and Oregon arrests. This gets at the heart of it for me, because we don't know anything of the sort. The Portland 7 were not a terror cell. They wanted to go to Afghanistan to support the Taliban on the battlefield. Definitely bad guys from our point of view, but not the bogymen we're told to fear. The Lodi case, however, is a poster child for what's wrong with our domestic approach to the war on terror: the President touting it (see, you really are in danger and we really are keeping you safe), dubious confessions, a well-paid imformant known to have lied to the FBI, the big fish in the "terror cell" being deported on minor immigration charges (always a red flag for me), and a jury deadlocked on the father and convicting the son of two counts of making false statements to the FBI and one count of providing material support to terrorists. I sincerely hope this case comes back around, because I would very much like to see it tried again.
The surest way for those in power to remain in power is to generate fear and cultivate the perception that they are doing something about it. Magnifying that, we have a long and glorious history of people at all levels of government covering their asses: If you screw up, don't admit to it, fight it to the end, win on some small matter and claim it justifies everything you've done. Better to destroy the life of some poor shmuck and advance your career than to allow a black mark in your file. Fortunately not everyone in government is like that, nor even the majority of them. But it is something we see again and again from law enforcement, prosecutors, and administrations from the local to the federal level.
These two, which go hand-in-hand so often, are a big reason we must never take our government at its word and must yell "foul!" every time they touch our civil liberties.
All that said, I maintain that embracing the Middle Eastern immigrant community following 9-11 would not only have set us on the moral high ground, but it would have made us better able to secure our people and our interests, both foreign and domestic. Unprovable, certainly, but we have little to show for the approach we did take. For once it would have been nice if we'd learned from history. Yes, we muddled through it in WWII, but is that the best we can hope for when it comes to both our security and our rights? To muddle? --Jeff Stehman | | Back to Top | | |
 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/8/2006 4:07 PM (GMT -5) |   | Eh, if your saying government bureaucrats are interested in CYA, no matter party, politics or perssuasion--how I'm gonna argue that with a straight face?
If you believe the threat is smoke and mirrors without substance or that pre-9/11 government structures were more than capable of handling it (without, say the CIA being able to talk to the FBI) then I'm a little lost.
I like high ground -- good tactical advantage there. Moral high ground often strikes me much like beauty -- it's subjective, nebulous, shifts often and is mostly useless in a tactical sense -- but should we have mean needlessly antagonistic? No.
I guess it depends on what you mean. Should we have sent undercover agents into mosques (specifically whabbist) well, I'm for that. If you're suggesting "racial profiling" at airports was a finger in the eye or something then you lost me there too, those "blond blue-eyed Chechens and smiling Asians" never really showed up. I'm for running our airlines like the Isralie's do their's --- but you maynot be talking about that. I'm not sure I'm up on these great arab-american outrages you're talking about.
That doesn't mean they don't exist -- just that I'm not intimately aware of what you're referring to.
VIEW IMAGE"Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/8/2006 5:13 PM (GMT -5) |   |
Jeff Stehman said...
I suspect I undergo a slightly different procedure (he says sarcastically), but that's about how long I hold it. Eventually the warming on the back of my eyeballs is what gets to me. A curious aside, it was a thought I had during the media storm following KSM's arrest that led me to write my NaNoWriMo novel, Making War, last year. In it our hero uses deeply planted disinformation to create a war between two nations, thus safeguarding his own nation but becoming a shell of a man in the process. (That ought'a have 'em rollin the in the aisles.)
Yes, we muddled through it in WWII, but is that the best we can hope for when it comes to both our security and our rights? To muddle?
ALSO:
but not the bogymen we're told to fear.
President touting it (see, you really are in danger and we really are keeping you safe), dubious confessions, a well-paid imformant known to have lied to the FBI
The surest way for those in power to remain in power is to generate fear and cultivate the perception that they are doing something about it
Second, I don't think the recent airline bombing plot would have come close to a 9/11 event.
Instead they encourage us to fear. It's good business for businesses, and it keeps the powerful in power.
Confession! (Sorry, Black Adder moment.)
Do we have any indication that changes in US laws/policies/practices led to the disruption of the hijacking plots
Better to destroy the life of some poor shmuck and advance your career than to allow a black mark in your file
These two, which go hand-in-hand so often, are a big reason we must never take our government at its word and must yell "foul!" every time they touch our civil liberties.
The "muddled" through WWII really caught me flat-footed. You think we muddled through? Like the keystone cops? I think we fought a long, hard taxing almost impossible war on a worldwide front. What you refer to as muddle is I suspect is as good and as clean as a war gets. Yes, if the result is like the end of WWII for America on the world stage I would LOVE to muddle through this one as well.
I pieced the other quotes together as highlights that caught my eye, often more for tone than in my seeking to disagree with your points.
I've formed an opinion and I'm curious if I'm spot on or way off: you're in that "eh, it's not as bad as everyone thinks camp." That's not an accustation -- I'm quite sure I'm in a "camp" as well. But really, even if it meant a few more attacks every few years you don't really want the country to get too excited -- the best revenge is living well, all that? There really isn't a threat, no need to get excited and mostly this is just a way for the right-wingers to get anti-gay laws and tax-cuts for the rich railroaded through? Am I close? That "people who would trade liberty for security deserve neither" school of thought?
Like I said I'm not saying that as an attack, I'm saying this is the "vibe" I'm getting then asking am I in the ballpark?
The part I bolded was so I could ask: What if 'they' touch our civil liberities and we cry 'foul!' (which is smart) but then they give a good reason. Do we just continue crying foul or do we accept that in order to have our pursuit of happiness and liberty we must first have our life? (you live free or die all you want, leave me out of it, lol).
Lastly: I put the Black Adder quote in simply because it's cool you quoted Black Adder. If you could slip a Red Dwarf quote in I might buy you dinner  But I will not salinate your sinus... VIEW IMAGE "Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
 |  Jeff Stehman Sage
        Date Joined Mar 2005 Total Posts : 1224 | Posted 10/8/2006 6:39 PM (GMT -5) |   | nathan said... That doesn't mean they don't exist -- just that I'm not intimately aware of what you're referring to. Following 9-11 we detained and/or deported, what, a few thousand people, mostly for minor immigration violations. Many of these violations the INS had previouisly known about and were working with the individuals to get them back to legal, but all that stopped. Family members of detainees were given little or no information regarding status for long periods of time, as supposedly that would provide terrorists with usable intel, but reminding more than a few immigrants of governmental behavior they had thought they'd left behind.
As far as the silliness that goes on in airports these days, none of it goes as far toward securing our airlines against hijacking as the knowledge passengers have that the rules have changed--the best way to survive is to fight back.
nathan said... The "muddled" through WWII really caught me flat-footed. You think we muddled through? I was referring to the suspension of civil rights.
nathan said... I've formed an opinion and I'm curious if I'm spot on or way off: you're in that "eh, it's not as bad as everyone thinks camp." In some ways, but in other ways I suspect it's worse. But let me see if I can clarify some of what you're seeing: I believe in the ideals on which the US was founded and are in part laid out in the Constitution. By that I don't mean "wouldn't it be nice if we could all live like that." I believe that if we live out those ideals, good things happen; we are more respected by other nations and our ideological enemies, we are more successful in pursuing our international goals, and we're more prosperous and secure. Not because God would bless us for playing nice, but because I believe those ideals lead directly to those results. Not perfectly, to be certain, but far more effectively than the "ideals are for the good times" approach that has been our reality.
nathan said... Do we just continue crying foul or do we accept that in order to have our pursuit of happiness and liberty we must first have our life? Finding where to draw the line between civil liberties and security is a nontrivial exercise. I do not draw it at the far extreme that libertarians do, but I'm not too far from there. More importantly, I have no interest in drawing it based on whatever fear is in vogue this year. People may feel better that "something is being done," but in the long term, I think that approach makes us less safe, not more. Worse, practical things that should be done and would cause no ideological battle aren't done.
nathan said... Lastly: I put the Black Adder quote in simply because it's cool you quoted Black Adder. If you could slip a Red Dwarf quote in I might buy you dinner "Of course! Lager! The only thing that can kill a vindaloo!" (I don't drink, but I do love Indian food.) I haven't watched any since series four, but I'm thinking more series should be available on DVD now. We'll be signing up for Netflix again in January, and anything new will definitely be going on the list. --Jeff Stehman | | Back to Top | | |
 |  Daniel Carl Jung's Waterboy

       Date Joined Aug 2003 Total Posts : 4515 | Posted 10/9/2006 11:39 AM (GMT -5) |   | nathan said... The "muddled" through WWII really caught me flat-footed. You think we muddled through?
***
Nathan,
How do you think the Americans and Brits would have fared without Hitler's war with Russia?
"Muddled through" is not an unfair characterization. As late as Dec. 1944, the American and British forces were caught "flat footed" by the Germans in the Ardennes offensive (what many call the "Battle of the Bulge.") And think about this: if not for the battle of Kursk (largest tank battle in history, planned by the GGS and NOT Hitler), the German armies may well have strung the war out for several more years, ultimately regaining the initiative on the eastern front.
I mention this because I think the kind of "America won ww2!" mentality that is so pervasive in our nation could be somewhat responsible for the ongoing, very detrimental overestimation of American military and political power since the war ended.
The seeds for this self-destructive belief, I think, emerge from the idea that America "won" ww 2. We weren't even in the war until after Dec. 1941, at which time, the Russian front had already stalled for Hitler and the Siberians were on their way to break the backs of the SS trroops and the whole Russian winter OFFENSIVE campaign started on the *same* day as Pearl Harbor, Dec. 7 1941. Germany had already lost the war by then, I'm sad to tell you, and even Hitler, Raeder, and Jodl knew this, from long before the US ever landed in Africa or Italy....
Daniel
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 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/9/2006 12:16 PM (GMT -5) |   | Well yes and no. By that I mean I think what you're saying is right but I'm infering different lessons.
Without America we'd have an Imperialist Japanese victory. With Japan not tied down in the multiple Pacfic theatres Russia would have found itself in a 2-front war.
Considering Russian tactics were "throw people at 'em" I think it very fair to say that a 2-front war would have been more than they could have handled. Ergo -- no America no victory even with Hitler trying despartely to ruin his own country.
No way could Russia have broken the SS back if Russia western troops had needed to move back east to counter Japanese troops out of the east & south. Thus FDR's deliberate provication of Japan during those years when we weren't at war prevented the twin-pincer envelopment by the Axis on Russia. The threat of the 'sleeping giant' was like a unmoved Queen on the chessboard -- yes you engage with all of your other pieces initially, but you always keep that Queen in your plans. (And FDR was almost as hated as Bush is now for being such a war-monger)
Plus even before troops the Merchant Marines kept Britian alive logistically -- that alone shouldn't be dismissed, it was key. This "new" revisionist history of WWII dismissing American influence on that war seems as politically driven as the naive flag-waving crap that glossed over hard truths that the revisionists objected to in the first place.
I think the lessons of WWII are broader in terms of what we now face, and that's the main point I'm always going to with reference to it-- not the battles, per se.
It is dangerous to have a 'Chamberlin mentality' when faced with strongmen for example. Believe the tyrants when they tell you something and attack while they are still building -- not when they've already strong as hell. There would have been no Bulgeif we had struck in defense of Austria instead of following a plan of appeasement -- a more fitting anaology with some mind sets displayed to day, for example.
-- or more importantly this concept that their are even such a thing as a wars that aren't "muddled" through -- it is always messy, civilians always die, we always sacrifice high minded but purely academic thoughts for tactical realities.
I refer to WWII because most people think of it (rightly or wrongly) as a "clean" war. I'm using WWII merely to point out, look at all the "bad" stuff we did to get through that. A dirty war is going to have to be correspondantly dirtier.
We should be in the mindset of taking Hitlers out while they plan to take Austria--not waiting around for them to self-destruct by fighting Russia in the winter. That's the larger lesson, not that America thinks its invinciple for stopping evil in later, stronger stages.
Now, if Rumsefled fought like Patton or even Eishenhower, Iraq and A-stan would be different. Instead he's fighting like Montgomery and people think a more Chamberlin/Montgomery approch of troop withdrawl, aversion to conflict and lack of aggression is going to help when that kind of Rummy-doctorine is already failing now.
Now: N Korea detonated a nuke while I was sleeping and I have to revise my story, lol. VIEW IMAGE"Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
  |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/9/2006 12:50 PM (GMT -5) |   | No, that I completely agree with which is why WWII anologious can only be theoretical or mindset and not tactics per se.
I'm waiting for a Night of the Long Knives. Having gotten in to power is the extreme right now like the SA to be taken out? Or is it the moderates who, having helped win independant voters are sacrificed?
The GOP has some real problems with its base. Most base hate Bush for his policy on the border. Most voters are moderate--but to win the primary they'll have to run far-right. Our economy is very robust which pleases corps, but it's robust at the cost of middle-class--unlike Clinton's good years--who form the voting bulk.
The DNC should be sitting pretty -- but it's not, correspondingly anyway. These November elections shouldn't be a fight they should be a sweep but they won't be even if DNC pulls it out.
It's like they completely forgot Clinton's rule of "triangulation from the middle."
It would be fairly easily to move this country left in increments starting from the center. Instead people keep wanting to knock a "left turn" out of the park in one fell swoop. For example, gay marriage. Rightly or wrongly people are all crazy about this. Okay -- don't run a campaign on losing ideas. Get in power then strengthen civil contracts to the point their de facto marriages in all but that name. It's like people in power are listening to the wrong talking heads.
I find myself frustrated.
VIEW IMAGE"Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
 |  Daniel Carl Jung's Waterboy

       Date Joined Aug 2003 Total Posts : 4515 | Posted 10/9/2006 1:25 PM (GMT -5) |   | I'm waiting for a Night of the Long Knives
***
That's been happening in the Rep party since the De Lay scandal broke, add in Abramoff, Foley, and allthe neo-cons like Wolfiwitz and Cristol who bailed after Bush's 1st term. And then Colin Powell, Andy Card, all the generals who disagreed with Bush, and Dick Clarke, etc, etc,... They just forgot to "kill" Rhoem, ie -- Karl Rove: fat and sassy just like his Nazi predecessor!
Daniel
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 |  Daniel Carl Jung's Waterboy

       Date Joined Aug 2003 Total Posts : 4515 | Posted 10/9/2006 1:31 PM (GMT -5) |   | Nathan,
I don't think it is about "triangualtion" anymore or staying "on message" or placating voters. We need actual *leadership* now and I seriously doubt that kind of leadership exists in the REp party, which is comprised of immoral opportunists, child-molestors, and weak-willed rhetoriticians.
Spin is the last thing we need and -- I gotta say -- gay marriage (like "border security") is/always was a non-issue floated as part of the neo-con vote machine, hasn't got a bloomin' thing to do with anything at all.
As for the economy, don't be a sap. We're headed for a recession, look at the real estate markets, for goddness sake! The durable goods, the import/export "debt" and the DEFICEIT which came out of the largest economic surplas in America's history. If you are a billionaire, it's a great economy, but otherwise, it is "spend your retirement NOW to make ends meet." Period.
Daniel
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 |  nathan Sage

       Date Joined Mar 2006 Total Posts : 2176 | Posted 10/9/2006 3:30 PM (GMT -5) |   | No it doesn't exist. However the problem is will voters see the DNC has a better or a worse choice. I just don't know if a Moses is going to rise up and lead the faithful to a promised land. I'm not saying I'm not looking, I'm just saying I don't expect to see one. There appears to be no Pale Rider on the horizon.
Because of that I think it will be politics as usual. Therefore, how does one side or another win a politics as usual paradigm--that's the question. Issues. The greatest domestic issue is the border and how the disconnect between the border and the general public plays out. The other issue was gas prices but strangely the right leaning oil companies seem to be dropping the prices lower as we get down to vote time.
It doesn't even matter if you see gay marriage or border security as non-issues. What matters in this sense is not telling them "everythings fine at the border" or "gay marriage doesn't hurt anybody" -- cause a huge portion of voters are going to disagree with you and then vote that way.
As that Macheveliian ass Dick Morris points out so shrewdly. No matter how badly Bush screws up Iraq if The Issue is Security (moral, border, iraq, or terror--pick one) then the DNC looses. If the issue is economic or social then the DNC wins.
The DNC can't win by playing Iraq, IMO. Because the issue is still reduced to primary colors. If they run as "Bush policy sucks" then the implication says "DNC will run a better military" -- that has never won a DNC election since, like, Truman. Too much Pelosi/Murtha/Dean has left a vauge, general but hard to shake implication that the DNC is Chamberlin on terror.
Wrong. Of course it's wrong -- look how those Dems on military and intel committees vote appropriations and the lanuge they use and how its is different than that DNC politicians out of the loop for example (those guys aren't "left" enough to win a primary though). However. Doesn't matter. If The Issue as terror then the average voter equates DNC as lacking a war-fighting spirit.
SO Dems have to change the issue. Make it socio-economic. The biggest trap will be in how the Dems will handle the war and terror. My fear is this: in order to win a primary the DNC canidate will have to run far-left. To win a general election they'll have to then scoot toward the middle but all the stuff they said in the primary will turn of moderate Repubs and independants. It'll be "Dems want to give Iraq to Iran" and "Dems want Constiutional Rights for Terrorists."
The hope, I think, is this. The GOPers will play farther right than center to get the primary. Thus Dems should leave Security alone. It should be "GOP kills middle class" or "Scandals Show Repubs Lack Morals" and they better leave Foley alone because the guy wasn't really a true LEGAL pedophile. He was an older homosexual who liked teen age boys -- teen age boys above the age of consent in several states. If they play Foley wrong it could look anti-gay when it should be anti-predator.
I mean the biggest non-issue in a way is Iraq and terror. We won't pull out even if the Dems win and the Dems can't win a primary by saying 'more troops' and they can't win an election by saying 'pull out.' They can't appear to be soft on security and win a general election and they can't win a primary by being precieved as strong (look at Liberman).
Our parties are an effing mess. It'll be a race to see who self-destructs the worst. Of course that means a lack of faith. A lack of faith means low voter turnout. A low voter turnout means a GOP win. By that thinking GOPers don't even need to clean house. All they need to do is spread the scandal brush around enough to disillusion ALL politicians and make younger and independant voters just not vote.
Do I sound pesimistic? VIEW IMAGE "Writing the wet dreams of teenage boys" - Lindsey Llyod, Tangent Reviews
Tarantino himself has been forward and unapologetic about his influences. In a 1994 interview with Empire magazine, he said, "I steal from every single movie ever made. If people don't like that, then tough tills, don't go and see it, all right? I steal from everything. Great artists steal, they don't do homages." | | Back to Top | | |
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